Stakeholders
Stakeholder groups are the organised interests in the game, such as trade unions, business lobbies, political movements and industries. Each group has a score that reacts to every policy. The score is a weighted average of the reactions of the individual voters who make up the group, so a policy that is popular with those voters is also popular with the group. Each era has its own list of stakeholder groups. This page lists every group in every era and names the voters that carry the most weight in each.
- 1 The Fifties
- 1.1 AFL-CIO
- 1.2 US Chamber of Commerce
- 1.3 National Association of Manufacturers
- 1.4 American Farm Bureau
- 1.5 States' Rights / Dixiecrat Bloc
- 1.6 Northern Liberal Democrats (ADA)
- 1.7 Eisenhower Modern Republicans
- 1.8 Taft / Old Right Conservatives
- 1.9 HUAC & the Anti-Communist Right
- 1.10 The China Lobby
- 1.11 Pentagon & Joint Chiefs
- 1.12 State Department Establishment
- 1.13 FBI (Hoover's Bureau)
- 1.14 American Legion / VFW
- 1.15 Network Broadcasting & Press
- 1.16 Major Newspapers
- 1.17 Southern Press
- 1.18 NAACP & Civil Rights Leadership
- 1.19 Catholic Church
- 1.20 Mainline Protestant Establishment
- 1.21 American Medical Association
- 1.22 Oil & Energy Lobby
- 1.23 National Rifle Association
- 2 The Sixties
- 2.1 AFL-CIO
- 2.2 US Chamber of Commerce
- 2.3 American Farm Bureau
- 2.4 National Association of Manufacturers
- 2.5 Dixiecrat Bloc
- 2.6 Northern Liberal Democrats
- 2.7 Rockefeller Republicans
- 2.8 Goldwater Conservatives
- 2.9 Emerging New Left
- 2.10 Pentagon & Joint Chiefs
- 2.11 State Department Establishment
- 2.12 FBI (Hoover's Bureau)
- 2.13 NASA & Space Program
- 2.14 Veterans of Foreign Wars
- 2.15 Network Television (CBS/NBC/ABC)
- 2.16 Major Newspapers (NYT/WaPo)
- 2.17 Southern Press
- 2.18 NAACP & Civil Rights Leadership
- 2.19 American Medical Association
- 2.20 National Rifle Association
- 2.21 Catholic Church
- 2.22 Mainline Protestant Establishment
- 2.23 Oil & Energy Lobby
- 3 The Seventies
- 3.1 Wall Street & Big Business
- 3.2 Business Roundtable & Manufacturers
- 3.3 Oil & Gas Industry
- 3.4 Farm Belt & Agribusiness
- 3.5 Main Street Small Business
- 3.6 AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
- 3.7 UAW & Industrial Unions
- 3.8 Public-Sector Unions (AFSCME/AFT)
- 3.9 Network News (Cronkite Era)
- 3.10 Investigative Press (Post & Times)
- 3.11 The New Right
- 3.12 Liberal & Moderate Republicans
- 3.13 New Politics Democrats
- 3.14 Regular Democrats (Machine & Labor)
- 3.15 Wallace Democrats
- 3.16 NRA & Gun Owners
- 3.17 Environmental Movement
- 3.18 NOW & the ERA Campaign
- 3.19 NAACP & Black Caucus
- 3.20 UFW & Latino Movement
- 3.21 Vietnam Veterans & VFW
- 3.22 Anti-War Movement
- 3.23 Catholic Church & Parish Networks
- 3.24 Evangelical Protestants
- 3.25 Pentagon & Defence Establishment
- 3.26 Retirees & the Gray Lobby
- 3.27 Consumer Movement (Nader's Raiders)
- 4 The Nineties
- 4.1 Wall Street & Financial Sector
- 4.2 US Chamber of Commerce
- 4.3 Small Business Federation
- 4.4 Silicon Valley & Dot-Com VCs
- 4.5 Oil & Energy Lobby
- 4.6 AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
- 4.7 Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
- 4.8 Network TV & CNN
- 4.9 Talk Radio (Limbaugh Era)
- 4.10 NYT/WaPo Establishment
- 4.11 Fox News (Post-1996)
- 4.12 Christian Coalition / Religious Right
- 4.13 Country Club Republicans
- 4.14 DLC / New Democrats
- 4.15 Liberal Democrats / Old Labor
- 4.16 Paleoconservative Right
- 4.17 Reform Party / Perot Independents
- 4.18 NRA & Gun Rights
- 4.19 Sierra Club / Environmental Movement
- 4.20 NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
- 4.21 NOW / Feminist Movement
- 4.22 HRC & Gay Rights Movement
- 4.23 AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
- 4.24 USCCB / Catholic Bishops
- 4.25 AARP / Retiree Lobby
- 4.26 Pentagon & Defence Establishment
- 5 The 2000s
- 5.1 Wall Street & Financial Sector
- 5.2 US Chamber of Commerce
- 5.3 Small Business Federation
- 5.4 Silicon Valley & Dot-Com VCs
- 5.5 Oil & Energy Lobby
- 5.6 AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
- 5.7 Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
- 5.8 Network TV & CNN
- 5.9 Talk Radio (Limbaugh Era)
- 5.10 NYT/WaPo Establishment
- 5.11 Fox News (Post-1996)
- 5.12 Christian Coalition / Religious Right
- 5.13 Country Club Republicans
- 5.14 DLC / New Democrats
- 5.15 Liberal Democrats / Old Labor
- 5.16 Paleoconservative Right
- 5.17 Reform Party / Perot Independents
- 5.18 NRA & Gun Rights
- 5.19 Sierra Club / Environmental Movement
- 5.20 NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
- 5.21 NOW / Feminist Movement
- 5.22 HRC & Gay Rights Movement
- 5.23 AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
- 5.24 USCCB / Catholic Bishops
- 5.25 AARP / Retiree Lobby
- 5.26 Pentagon & Defence Establishment
- 6 The Modern Era
- 6.1 Wall Street & Financial Sector
- 6.2 US Chamber of Commerce
- 6.3 Small Business Federation
- 6.4 Silicon Valley & Big Tech
- 6.5 Energy & Oil Sector Lobby
- 6.6 AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
- 6.7 Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
- 6.8 Fox News Viewership
- 6.9 CNN/MSNBC Viewership
- 6.10 NYT/WaPo Readership
- 6.11 Talk Radio & Podcast Right
- 6.12 MAGA Movement
- 6.13 Republican Moderates
- 6.14 Progressive Caucus
- 6.15 Blue Dog / Moderate Democrats
- 6.16 Libertarian Wing
- 6.17 NRA & Gun Lobby
- 6.18 Environmental & Climate Coalition
- 6.19 Anti-Immigration Network
- 6.20 AARP / Retiree Lobby
- 6.21 Veterans Organizations
- 6.22 Evangelical Leaders
- 6.23 NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
- 6.24 Hispanic Civic Coalition
- 6.25 American Farm Bureau
- 6.26 AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
- 6.27 USCCB / Catholic Bishops
- 6.28 Pentagon & Defence Establishment
- 6.29 Healthcare Workers & AMA
- 6.30 Higher Education & Research
- 6.31 Homeowners Alliance
- 6.32 Renters & Housing Justice Coalition
- 7 Tweeter Is Not Real Life
- 7.1 The Dissident Right
- 7.2 Daily Wire Conservatives
- 7.3 Intellectual Dark Web
- 7.4 Anti-Woke Liberals
- 7.5 TYT / Progressive Populists
- 7.6 BreadTube Streamer Left
- 7.7 The Nietzschean Right
- 7.8 Anti-Establishment Substack Journalism
- 7.9 Trad Christian Right
- 7.10 National Conservatism
- 7.11 Infowars-Axis Right
- 7.12 Pro-Israel Hawks
- 7.13 Pro-Palestine Left
- 7.14 Pro-Choice Coalition
- 7.15 Pro-Life Coalition
- 7.16 Free Speech Absolutists
- 7.17 Crypto Caucus
- 7.18 RFK Wellness Coalition
- 7.19 Establishment Public-Health Liberals
- 7.20 The Rainbow Flag Brigade
- 7.21 Gender-Critical Coalition
- 7.22 MAGA Loyalists
- 7.23 Never Trump GOP
- 7.24 The Manosphere
- 7.25 The Joe Rogan Audience
- 7.26 The Substack Aristocracy
- 7.27 Patreon Class (Streamer Left)
- 7.28 X Power Users
- 7.29 Bluesky Refugees
- 7.30 Rationalists / Effective Altruists
The Fifties
AFL-CIO
Organized labour at its peak — the muscle of the New Deal coalition in the industrial states.
Weighed most by: Steel City Stan (25%), Cannery Carl (20%), Cannery Rosa (15%), Barrio Tomás (15%).
US Chamber of Commerce
Big business pushing low taxes, free enterprise, and a free hand for capital.
Weighed most by: Banker Prescott (30%), Junior Exec Chip (25%), Texas Oil Tex (20%), Park Forest Phil (15%).
National Association of Manufacturers
Industrial manufacturers for low taxes, the open shop, and Taft-Hartley.
Weighed most by: Junior Exec Chip (30%), Banker Prescott (25%), Texas Oil Tex (20%), Park Forest Phil (15%).
American Farm Bureau
The large commercial farmers' lobby — conservative, wary of losing price supports.
Weighed most by: Farm Wife Edna (30%), Prairie Prudence (30%), Old Country Olga (15%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%).
States' Rights / Dixiecrat Bloc
Southern Democratic segregationists who chair the committees and will bolt over civil rights.
Weighed most by: Dixiecrat Dale (35%), Minute Women Vivian (25%), Prairie Prudence (15%), Texas Oil Tex (15%).
Northern Liberal Democrats (ADA)
The Stevenson-wing progressives pushing civil rights, social spending, and anti-McCarthyism.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (30%), Garment Row Saul (25%), South Side Marcus (15%), Suburban Sue (10%).
Eisenhower Modern Republicans
Internationalist, fiscally moderate establishment GOP. Accepts the New Deal, fights the isolationists.
Weighed most by: Junior Exec Chip (25%), Banker Prescott (20%), Park Forest Phil (20%), Suburban Sue (15%).
Taft / Old Right Conservatives
Isolationist, anti-New Deal small-government conservatives — the party's right wing.
Weighed most by: Prairie Prudence (25%), Farm Wife Edna (20%), Old Country Olga (20%), Texas Oil Tex (15%).
HUAC & the Anti-Communist Right
The McCarthy bloc — loyalty oaths, blacklists, and the hunt for subversives in government.
Weighed most by: Minute Women Vivian (25%), War Widow Bridget (20%), Texas Oil Tex (15%), Parish Maureen (15%).
The China Lobby
Hawkish backers of Chiang Kai-shek who blame Washington for 'losing China' and demand a hard line on Mao.
Weighed most by: Texas Oil Tex (25%), Air Base Andy (20%), Minute Women Vivian (20%), War Widow Bridget (20%).
Pentagon & Joint Chiefs
Military leadership focused on the 'New Look,' nuclear deterrence, and Korea.
Weighed most by: Air Base Andy (35%), GI-Bill Buddy (15%), War Widow Bridget (15%), Junior Exec Chip (15%).
State Department Establishment
The foreign-policy establishment pushing containment and alliances — and reeling from loyalty purges.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (25%), Banker Prescott (25%), Suburban Sue (20%), Garment Row Saul (15%).
FBI (Hoover's Bureau)
J. Edgar Hoover's bureau. Anti-communist, anti-civil-rights, accountable to no one.
Weighed most by: Minute Women Vivian (20%), Texas Oil Tex (20%), War Widow Bridget (15%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%).
American Legion / VFW
WWII and Korea veterans. Patriotic, hawkish, fiercely anti-communist.
Weighed most by: GI-Bill Buddy (25%), Steel City Stan (20%), Air Base Andy (20%), War Widow Bridget (10%).
Network Broadcasting & Press
Murrow and the rising networks. Television is reshaping how the country sees its politics.
Weighed most by: Suburban Sue (20%), Park Forest Phil (15%), Park Forest Peggy (15%), Faculty Eleanor (15%).
Major Newspapers
Agenda-setting broadsheets read by elites and policy makers.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (25%), Banker Prescott (20%), Garment Row Saul (20%), Junior Exec Chip (15%).
Southern Press
Regional papers reinforcing Southern views on race, states' rights, and 'massive resistance.'
Weighed most by: Dixiecrat Dale (30%), Minute Women Vivian (25%), Prairie Prudence (20%), Texas Oil Tex (15%).
NAACP & Civil Rights Leadership
The legal and organizing front of the movement — Brown v. Board, the poll tax, voting rights.
Weighed most by: South Side Marcus (35%), Delta Pearl (30%), Garment Row Saul (15%), Faculty Eleanor (10%).
Catholic Church
A large, anti-communist, pro-family bloc. Sympathetic to McCarthy, wary of secularism.
Weighed most by: Parish Maureen (25%), War Widow Bridget (15%), Steel City Stan (10%), Cannery Carl (10%).
Mainline Protestant Establishment
The old WASP establishment — moderate, institutionalist, quietly influential.
Weighed most by: Banker Prescott (20%), Suburban Sue (15%), Prairie Prudence (15%), Farm Wife Edna (15%).
American Medical Association
The doctors' lobby, fiercely opposed to 'socialized medicine' and national health insurance.
Weighed most by: Banker Prescott (20%), Junior Exec Chip (20%), Texas Oil Tex (15%), Prairie Prudence (15%).
Oil & Energy Lobby
Texas oil and energy interests — the depletion allowance, anti-regulation, huge donors.
Weighed most by: Texas Oil Tex (40%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%), Banker Prescott (15%), Junior Exec Chip (15%).
National Rifle Association
A sportsmen's and marksmanship organization. Hunters and gun culture, not yet a political force.
Weighed most by: Farm Wife Edna (20%), Prairie Prudence (20%), Dixiecrat Dale (20%), GI-Bill Buddy (15%).
The Sixties
AFL-CIO
The most powerful labour federation in America. 15 million members. Controls Democratic ground operations in industrial states.
Weighed most by: Union Hall Frank (30%), Teamster Sal (20%), Appalachian Earl (15%), Levittown Larry (10%).
US Chamber of Commerce
Big business lobby pushing pro-growth, anti-regulation, anti-union policy.
Weighed most by: Wall Street Henry (25%), Country Club Richard (25%), Texas Oil Jack (20%), Goldwater Barry Jr (15%).
American Farm Bureau
Agricultural lobby representing large commercial farmers. Conservative, anti-regulation, sceptical of government programs.
Weighed most by: Prairie Ruth (30%), Ranch Hand Clyde (20%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%), Bible Belt Reverend (10%).
National Association of Manufacturers
Industrial manufacturers pushing for low taxes, free trade, and minimal labour regulation.
Weighed most by: Country Club Richard (25%), Wall Street Henry (20%), Texas Oil Jack (20%), Goldwater Barry Jr (15%).
Dixiecrat Bloc
Southern Democratic segregationists who control committee chairmanships. Will bolt the party over civil rights.
Weighed most by: Dixiecrat Dale (35%), Bible Belt Reverend (25%), Texas Oil Jack (15%), Prairie Ruth (10%).
Northern Liberal Democrats
Progressive wing pushing civil rights, social spending, and internationalism.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (25%), Campus David (20%), Harlem James (15%), South Side Dorothy (15%).
Rockefeller Republicans
Eastern establishment moderates. Pro-business, pro-civil rights, internationalist. Dominant wing of the GOP in the 1960s.
Weighed most by: Country Club Richard (30%), Wall Street Henry (25%), Suburban Betty (15%), Levittown Larry (10%).
Goldwater Conservatives
Rising right-wing movement. Anti-New Deal, anti-communist, pro-states' rights. The future of the Republican Party.
Weighed most by: Goldwater Barry Jr (30%), Prairie Ruth (20%), Ranch Hand Clyde (15%), Texas Oil Jack (15%).
Emerging New Left
Student activists, anti-war movement, counterculture. Barely a force in 1961, central by 1969.
Weighed most by: Campus David (40%), Faculty Eleanor (20%), Harlem James (15%), Bracero Miguel (10%).
Pentagon & Joint Chiefs
Military leadership focused on Cold War strategy, defence budgets, and containing communism globally.
Weighed most by: Pentagon George (35%), GI Bill Bobby (15%), Country Club Richard (10%), Goldwater Barry Jr (10%).
State Department Establishment
Foreign policy establishment pushing containment, alliances, and diplomatic solutions over military ones.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (20%), Country Club Richard (20%), Wall Street Henry (15%), Pentagon George (15%).
FBI (Hoover's Bureau)
J. Edgar Hoover's FBI. Anti-communist, anti-civil rights movement, anti-organized crime. Answers to no one.
Weighed most by: Pentagon George (20%), Prairie Ruth (15%), Teamster Sal (15%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%).
NASA & Space Program
The space race is a Cold War proxy. Public support is high. Budgets are massive. National prestige is at stake.
Weighed most by: GI Bill Bobby (15%), Suburban Betty (15%), Pentagon George (15%), Faculty Eleanor (15%).
Veterans of Foreign Wars
WWII and Korean War veterans. Patriotic, hawkish, sceptical of protest movements.
Weighed most by: GI Bill Bobby (25%), Pentagon George (20%), Levittown Larry (15%), Teamster Sal (15%).
Network Television (CBS/NBC/ABC)
Walter Cronkite and the network anchors. The most trusted voices in America. Their framing shapes public opinion.
Weighed most by: Suburban Betty (20%), Levittown Larry (20%), Country Club Richard (10%), Union Hall Frank (10%).
Major Newspapers (NYT/WaPo)
Agenda-setting broadsheets read by elites and policy makers. Liberal-leaning editorially.
Weighed most by: Faculty Eleanor (25%), Country Club Richard (15%), Wall Street Henry (15%), South Side Dorothy (10%).
Southern Press
Regional newspapers reflecting and reinforcing Southern views on race, states' rights, and federal overreach.
Weighed most by: Dixiecrat Dale (30%), Bible Belt Reverend (25%), Texas Oil Jack (15%), Appalachian Earl (15%).
NAACP & Civil Rights Leadership
The institutional civil rights movement. NAACP, Urban League, SCLC. Pushing integration, voting rights, and federal protection.
Weighed most by: Harlem James (25%), Birmingham Rosa (25%), South Side Dorothy (20%), Campus David (10%).
American Medical Association
The doctors' lobby. Fiercely opposed to 'socialised medicine' and any government health insurance program.
Weighed most by: Country Club Richard (20%), Prairie Ruth (15%), Wall Street Henry (15%), Goldwater Barry Jr (15%).
National Rifle Association
A sportsmen's and marksmanship organization. Not yet a political force — that comes later. Represents hunters and gun culture.
Weighed most by: Ranch Hand Clyde (25%), Prairie Ruth (15%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%), Appalachian Earl (15%).
Catholic Church
The largest single religious denomination. Anti-communist, pro-family, increasingly supportive of social justice. JFK made Catholicism mainstream.
Weighed most by: Catholic Mary (30%), Teamster Sal (15%), Suburban Betty (10%), Union Hall Frank (10%).
Mainline Protestant Establishment
Episcopal, Presbyterian, Methodist — the old WASP establishment. Moderate, institutionalist, quietly influential.
Weighed most by: Country Club Richard (25%), Wall Street Henry (15%), Suburban Betty (15%), Prairie Ruth (10%).
Oil & Energy Lobby
Texas oil, coal, and energy interests. Anti-regulation, anti-tax, enormous political donors.
Weighed most by: Texas Oil Jack (35%), Goldwater Barry Jr (15%), Dixiecrat Dale (15%), Ranch Hand Clyde (10%).
The Seventies
Wall Street & Big Business
The exchanges, the banks and the Fortune 500 in the decade of the Nifty Fifty, the 1973-74 crash and stagflation. Wants sound money and an end to controls.
Weighed most by: Main Line Margaret (25%), Muncie Merle (20%), Levittown Larry (20%), Zeeland Dena (10%).
Business Roundtable & Manufacturers
The new CEO lobby (founded 1972) and the industrial employers fighting OSHA, the EPA, price controls and union wage demands.
Weighed most by: Muncie Merle (25%), Zeeland Dena (20%), Levittown Larry (15%), Main Line Margaret (15%).
Oil & Gas Industry
The majors and the independents in the embargo decade — windfall profits on the front page, gas lines out the door, and Washington debating price controls.
Weighed most by: Delta Earl (25%), Sun City Dot (20%), Muncie Merle (15%), Sheboygan Walt (10%).
Farm Belt & Agribusiness
Dairy, grain and cotton in the decade of the Russian wheat deal, parity fights and Earl Butz telling everyone to get big or get out.
Weighed most by: Sheboygan Walt (30%), Farmer-Labor Lars (30%), Concordia Hilda (20%), Delta Earl (15%).
Main Street Small Business
The hardware stores, dealerships and family firms squeezed between inflation, interest rates and the paperwork from every new agency.
Weighed most by: Delta Earl (25%), Muncie Merle (20%), Zeeland Dena (15%), Bensonhurst Sal (15%).
AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
George Meany's federation at high tide — a quarter of the workforce carries a card, and the building trades and industrial unions still expect to write the Democratic platform.
Weighed most by: Hamtramck Stan (25%), Milwaukee Marv (20%), Coalfield Roy (15%), Southie Sean (15%).
UAW & Industrial Unions
The auto and steel unions facing the first imports, the speed-up, and the 30-and-out fight — the most powerful industrial workforce on earth, just past its peak.
Weighed most by: Hamtramck Stan (35%), Motor City Moses (25%), Milwaukee Marv (15%), Macomb Bev (10%).
Public-Sector Unions (AFSCME/AFT)
The fastest-growing unions in America — teachers, social workers, sanitation, municipal clerks — striking their way into the political map city by city.
Weighed most by: Upper West Side Ruth (25%), Motor City Moses (20%), Southside Colleen (15%), West Side Ramona (15%).
Network News (Cronkite Era)
Three networks and the most trusted man in America. The evening news is the national town square and everyone watches the same broadcast.
Weighed most by: Levittown Larry (15%), Naperville Nancy (15%), Main Line Margaret (15%), Berkeley Bruce (10%).
Investigative Press (Post & Times)
The Washington Post, the New York Times and the Pentagon Papers-to-Watergate generation of investigative reporters — subpoenaed, celebrated and circling.
Weighed most by: Upper West Side Ruth (25%), Berkeley Bruce (25%), Main Line Margaret (15%), Japantown June (10%).
The New Right
Direct-mail conservatism — Viguerie's lists, the tax revolt brewing, single-issue campaigns against the ERA, busing and détente. The Reagan coalition assembling itself early.
Weighed most by: Sun City Dot (30%), Delta Earl (20%), Concordia Hilda (15%), Macomb Bev (15%).
Liberal & Moderate Republicans
The Eastern Establishment wing — pro-civil-rights, pro-environment, fiscally orthodox — still holding governorships and the party's chequebook, and losing the party itself.
Weighed most by: Main Line Margaret (35%), Naperville Nancy (20%), Levittown Larry (15%), Zeeland Dena (10%).
New Politics Democrats
The McGovern wing — campus, professional and movement liberals who captured the party's rules and its presidential politics, to the horror of its labor wing.
Weighed most by: Berkeley Bruce (30%), Upper West Side Ruth (25%), Japantown June (20%), Naperville Nancy (10%).
Regular Democrats (Machine & Labor)
Daley's Chicago, the union halls and the county courthouses — the old coalition that elected every Democratic president since Roosevelt and no longer controls its own convention.
Weighed most by: Bensonhurst Sal (20%), Hamtramck Stan (20%), Southside Colleen (15%), Milwaukee Marv (10%).
Wallace Democrats
The George Wallace vote — Southern courthouse Democrats and Northern backlash ethnics, ten million strong in '68, the decade's great up-for-grabs bloc.
Weighed most by: Delta Earl (25%), Macomb Bev (25%), Southie Sean (20%), Coalfield Roy (15%).
NRA & Gun Owners
Still half sporting association, newly political after the Gun Control Act of 1968 — the hard-line turn is coming and the membership is already there.
Weighed most by: Delta Earl (20%), Coalfield Roy (20%), Sheboygan Walt (15%), Sun City Dot (10%).
Environmental Movement
Twenty million people at the first Earth Day, the EPA a year old, the Clean Air and Water Acts passing with bipartisan margins nobody will believe in fifty years.
Weighed most by: Naperville Nancy (25%), Berkeley Bruce (25%), Japantown June (15%), Upper West Side Ruth (10%).
NOW & the ERA Campaign
The women's movement at full mobilisation — the ERA through Congress and out to the states, Title IX, and a ratification map being fought county by county.
Weighed most by: Upper West Side Ruth (35%), Japantown June (20%), Naperville Nancy (15%), Southside Colleen (15%).
NAACP & Black Caucus
The movement institutionalising — the Congressional Black Caucus seated, the NAACP fighting the busing wars in the North, and Black mayors winning city halls.
Weighed most by: Motor City Moses (35%), Birmingham Bernice (35%), Upper West Side Ruth (10%), Berkeley Bruce (10%).
UFW & Latino Movement
César Chávez's grape and lettuce boycotts, La Raza Unida on Texas ballots, and a Mexican-American electorate both parties discover only in even-numbered years.
Weighed most by: West Side Ramona (45%), Japantown June (15%), Berkeley Bruce (15%), Motor City Moses (10%).
Vietnam Veterans & VFW
Six million coming home to a country that would rather not discuss it — the old posts and the new veterans wanting different things from the same government.
Weighed most by: Southie Sean (35%), Coalfield Roy (15%), Milwaukee Marv (15%), Sheboygan Walt (10%).
Anti-War Movement
The moratorium marches, the campus strikes after Cambodia and Kent State, and the long fight over amnesty — fading as the draft calls fall, furious while they last.
Weighed most by: Berkeley Bruce (35%), Japantown June (25%), Upper West Side Ruth (20%), Southside Colleen (10%).
Catholic Church & Parish Networks
The bishops, the parishes and the parochial schools — anti-abortion after Roe, pro-labor by habit, and losing the young on birth control in real time.
Weighed most by: Bensonhurst Sal (20%), Nonna Concetta (20%), Southie Sean (15%), West Side Ramona (15%).
Evangelical Protestants
Billy Graham crusades, booming Sunbelt congregations and a born-again bloc both parties still think of as apolitical. The sleeping giant of the decade.
Weighed most by: Concordia Hilda (25%), Delta Earl (25%), Birmingham Bernice (15%), Sun City Dot (10%).
Pentagon & Defence Establishment
The brass managing the withdrawal from Vietnam, the end of the draft, and a post-war budget fight — while watching the Soviets build and Congress investigate.
Weighed most by: Southie Sean (20%), Sun City Dot (15%), Delta Earl (15%), Sheboygan Walt (10%).
Retirees & the Gray Lobby
Social Security's biggest decade — the 20% benefit rise of 1972, automatic COLAs, and the Gray Panthers making old age a movement.
Weighed most by: Bensonhurst Sal (20%), Nonna Concetta (20%), Concordia Hilda (15%), Muncie Merle (15%).
Consumer Movement (Nader's Raiders)
Ralph Nader's raiders auditing every agency in Washington — auto safety, food labels, the CPSC — the most trusted man in public life who holds no office.
Weighed most by: Berkeley Bruce (20%), Upper West Side Ruth (20%), Naperville Nancy (20%), Japantown June (10%).
The Nineties
Wall Street & Financial Sector
Markets, banks, and institutional investors. Greenspan-era prosperity, Glass-Steagall repeal, dot-com boom and bust.
Weighed most by: Country Club Chip (30%), Dot-Com Drew (20%), Madison Steph (15%), Brownsville Deon (10%).
US Chamber of Commerce
Big business lobby pushing pro-growth, low-regulation, low-tax policy. Strong NAFTA backers.
Weighed most by: Country Club Chip (25%), Central Valley Ramón (15%), Dot-Com Drew (15%), Ozark Wayne (10%).
Small Business Federation
SME lobby prioritising tax stability, light regulation, and affordable healthcare. Wary of HillaryCare.
Weighed most by: Central Valley Ramón (22%), Coral Gables Orlando (13%), Dot-Com Drew (13%), Bayou Earl (11%).
Silicon Valley & Dot-Com VCs
Tech entrepreneurs, dot-com startups, and venture capital. Pro-skilled-immigration, anti-regulation, libertarian-leaning.
Weighed most by: Dot-Com Drew (45%), Daly City Marilou (30%), Madison Steph (10%), Scarsdale Ellen (5%).
Oil & Energy Lobby
Fossil fuel and extractive industries resisting climate regulation, pushing energy independence.
Weighed most by: Bitterroot Dale (30%), Mingo County Crystal (15%), Main Street Don (15%), Ozark Wayne (10%).
AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
Union federation in the NAFTA fight. Manufacturing erosion, public sector growth, declining political muscle.
Weighed most by: Bay Ridge Kevin (29%), Mingo County Crystal (17%), Baltimore Kiana (12%), Ozark Wayne (8%).
Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
Education workforce lobby focused on school funding, pay, and resisting voucher schemes.
Weighed most by: Anaheim Darlene (25%), Scarsdale Ellen (20%), Baltimore Kiana (15%), Daly City Marilou (15%).
Network TV & CNN
Big Three networks plus CNN — the dominant 90s news framing, before cable fragmented the audience.
Weighed most by: Anaheim Darlene (15%), Levittown Maureen (15%), Bensonhurst Rosalie (10%), Daly City Marilou (10%).
Talk Radio (Limbaugh Era)
Conservative talk-radio audience powering the Gingrich Revolution. Anti-Clinton, populist, paranoid streaks.
Weighed most by: Bergen Vinny (30%), Ozark Wayne (15%), Bitterroot Dale (15%), Lejeune Dustin (10%).
NYT/WaPo Establishment
Agenda-setting broadsheets read by elites and policymakers. Liberal-leaning, institutionalist.
Weighed most by: Madison Steph (25%), Scarsdale Ellen (20%), Brownsville Deon (15%), Country Club Chip (15%).
Fox News (Post-1996)
Cable news challenger founded 1996. Smaller audience early in the era, growing after 2001.
Weighed most by: Bergen Vinny (15%), Ozark Wayne (15%), Bensonhurst Rosalie (15%), Bitterroot Dale (10%).
Christian Coalition / Religious Right
Robertson and Falwell's organised religious right. Pro-life, pro-school-prayer, anti-gay-marriage.
Weighed most by: Plano Kimberly (27%), Cullman Eula (27%), Main Street Don (9%), Ozark Wayne (9%).
Country Club Republicans
Bush-41-wing establishment Republicans. Fiscally conservative, socially moderate, internationalist.
Weighed most by: Country Club Chip (40%), Lejeune Dustin (15%), Dot-Com Drew (10%), Anaheim Darlene (10%).
DLC / New Democrats
Clinton's centrist movement. Pro-NAFTA, welfare reform, fiscal restraint, triangulation.
Weighed most by: Madison Steph (20%), Brownsville Deon (20%), Central Valley Ramón (15%), Daly City Marilou (15%).
Liberal Democrats / Old Labor
The party's left wing — pro-union, pro-civil-rights, sceptical of Clinton's centrism.
Weighed most by: Castro Marty (18%), Scarsdale Ellen (18%), Baltimore Kiana (13%), North Philly Arlene (13%).
Paleoconservative Right
Buchanan-style populist right. Anti-NAFTA, anti-immigration, anti-globalist, culturally nationalist.
Weighed most by: Mingo County Crystal (40%), Ozark Wayne (15%), Bitterroot Dale (10%), Bergen Vinny (10%).
Reform Party / Perot Independents
Anti-deficit, anti-NAFTA, anti-establishment third-party movement. Largely faded by 2000.
Weighed most by: Dot-Com Drew (18%), Mingo County Crystal (18%), Bay Ridge Kevin (13%), Anaheim Darlene (13%).
NRA & Gun Rights
Second Amendment lobby radicalised by the Brady Bill and assault weapons ban. Powering GOP gains.
Weighed most by: Bitterroot Dale (28%), Ozark Wayne (14%), Lejeune Dustin (14%), Bergen Vinny (9%).
Sierra Club / Environmental Movement
Climate-curious but smaller than today. Kyoto Protocol fight, ANWR drilling, Clinton land conservation.
Weighed most by: Tempe Kurt (28%), Scarsdale Ellen (14%), Castro Marty (14%), Daly City Marilou (14%).
NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
Institutional civil rights movement. Voting rights enforcement, criminal justice, affirmative action defence.
Weighed most by: North Philly Arlene (28%), Brownsville Deon (24%), Baltimore Kiana (19%), Scarsdale Ellen (9%).
NOW / Feminist Movement
Pro-choice absolutism, ERA campaigning, Hillary defense, Anita Hill aftermath. Defining 90s liberalism.
Weighed most by: Scarsdale Ellen (25%), Madison Steph (16%), Baltimore Kiana (12%), Rio Grande Ofelia (9%).
HRC & Gay Rights Movement
Post-AIDS activist generation fighting DADT, DOMA, hate-crimes legislation. Marriage still aspirational.
Weighed most by: Castro Marty (40%), Madison Steph (20%), Scarsdale Ellen (15%), Brownsville Deon (15%).
AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
Pro-Israel advocacy organisation. Strongly bipartisan in the Clinton-Bush era — courts both parties on military aid, Oslo, and Iran/Iraq containment.
Weighed most by: Cullman Eula (20%), Lejeune Dustin (15%), Country Club Chip (15%), Plano Kimberly (10%).
USCCB / Catholic Bishops
US Conference of Catholic Bishops. Pro-life, pro-immigrant, pro-labor, pro-social-safety-net, anti-death-penalty. Politically cross-pressured.
Weighed most by: Central Valley Ramón (20%), Coral Gables Orlando (15%), Bay Ridge Kevin (15%), Mingo County Crystal (15%).
AARP / Retiree Lobby
Retiree bloc focused on Social Security, Medicare, prescription drug costs. Dominant in elections — third-rail politics for both parties.
Weighed most by: Bensonhurst Rosalie (26%), Anaheim Darlene (17%), Dunwoody Amanda (14%), North Philly Arlene (13%).
Pentagon & Defence Establishment
Post-Gulf War military leadership. Peace dividend cuts, Bosnia/Kosovo deployments, war-on-terror buildup.
Weighed most by: Lejeune Dustin (30%), Country Club Chip (15%), Bensonhurst Rosalie (10%), Ozark Wayne (10%).
The 2000s
Wall Street & Financial Sector
Markets, banks, and institutional investors. Greenspan-era prosperity, Glass-Steagall repeal, dot-com boom and bust.
Weighed most by: Country Club Whit (30%), Startup Seth (20%), Protest Paige (15%), Milwaukee Marcus (10%).
US Chamber of Commerce
Big business lobby pushing pro-growth, low-regulation, low-tax policy. Strong NAFTA backers.
Weighed most by: Country Club Whit (25%), Bakersfield Jesús (15%), Startup Seth (15%), Janesville Gary (10%).
Small Business Federation
SME lobby prioritising tax stability, light regulation, and affordable healthcare. Wary of HillaryCare.
Weighed most by: Bakersfield Jesús (22%), Hialeah Gladys (13%), Startup Seth (13%), Bayou Curtis (11%).
Silicon Valley & Dot-Com VCs
Tech entrepreneurs, dot-com startups, and venture capital. Pro-skilled-immigration, anti-regulation, libertarian-leaning.
Weighed most by: Startup Seth (45%), Fremont Anjali (30%), Protest Paige (10%), Park Slope Dana (5%).
Oil & Energy Lobby
Fossil fuel and extractive industries resisting climate regulation, pushing energy independence.
Weighed most by: Flathead Wade (30%), Pike County Brenda (15%), Abilene Ray (15%), Janesville Gary (10%).
AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
Union federation in the NAFTA fight. Manufacturing erosion, public sector growth, declining political muscle.
Weighed most by: Chattanooga Travis (29%), Pike County Brenda (17%), Greensboro Jasmine (12%), Janesville Gary (8%).
Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
Education workforce lobby focused on school funding, pay, and resisting voucher schemes.
Weighed most by: Fox News Phyllis (25%), Park Slope Dana (20%), Greensboro Jasmine (15%), Fremont Anjali (15%).
Network TV & CNN
Big Three networks plus CNN — the dominant 90s news framing, before cable fragmented the audience.
Weighed most by: Fox News Phyllis (15%), Security Mom Donna (15%), Snowbird Angela (10%), Fremont Anjali (10%).
Talk Radio (Limbaugh Era)
Conservative talk-radio audience powering the Gingrich Revolution. Anti-Clinton, populist, paranoid streaks.
Weighed most by: NASCAR Doug (30%), Janesville Gary (15%), Flathead Wade (15%), Fort Hood Cody (10%).
NYT/WaPo Establishment
Agenda-setting broadsheets read by elites and policymakers. Liberal-leaning, institutionalist.
Weighed most by: Protest Paige (25%), Park Slope Dana (20%), Milwaukee Marcus (15%), Country Club Whit (15%).
Fox News (Post-1996)
Cable news challenger founded 1996. Smaller audience early in the era, growing after 2001.
Weighed most by: NASCAR Doug (15%), Janesville Gary (15%), Snowbird Angela (15%), Flathead Wade (10%).
Christian Coalition / Religious Right
Robertson and Falwell's organised religious right. Pro-life, pro-school-prayer, anti-gay-marriage.
Weighed most by: Megachurch Heather (27%), Jasper Faye (27%), Abilene Ray (9%), Janesville Gary (9%).
Country Club Republicans
Bush-41-wing establishment Republicans. Fiscally conservative, socially moderate, internationalist.
Weighed most by: Country Club Whit (40%), Fort Hood Cody (15%), Startup Seth (10%), Fox News Phyllis (10%).
DLC / New Democrats
Clinton's centrist movement. Pro-NAFTA, welfare reform, fiscal restraint, triangulation.
Weighed most by: Protest Paige (20%), Milwaukee Marcus (20%), Bakersfield Jesús (15%), Fremont Anjali (15%).
Liberal Democrats / Old Labor
The party's left wing — pro-union, pro-civil-rights, sceptical of Clinton's centrism.
Weighed most by: Berkeley Leonard (18%), Park Slope Dana (18%), Greensboro Jasmine (13%), Sister Loretta (13%).
Paleoconservative Right
Buchanan-style populist right. Anti-NAFTA, anti-immigration, anti-globalist, culturally nationalist.
Weighed most by: Pike County Brenda (40%), Janesville Gary (15%), Flathead Wade (10%), NASCAR Doug (10%).
Reform Party / Perot Independents
Anti-deficit, anti-NAFTA, anti-establishment third-party movement. Largely faded by 2000.
Weighed most by: Startup Seth (18%), Pike County Brenda (18%), Chattanooga Travis (13%), Fox News Phyllis (13%).
NRA & Gun Rights
Second Amendment lobby radicalised by the Brady Bill and assault weapons ban. Powering GOP gains.
Weighed most by: Flathead Wade (28%), Janesville Gary (14%), Fort Hood Cody (14%), NASCAR Doug (9%).
Sierra Club / Environmental Movement
Climate-curious but smaller than today. Kyoto Protocol fight, ANWR drilling, Clinton land conservation.
Weighed most by: Drywall Josh (28%), Park Slope Dana (14%), Berkeley Leonard (14%), Fremont Anjali (14%).
NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
Institutional civil rights movement. Voting rights enforcement, criminal justice, affirmative action defence.
Weighed most by: Sister Loretta (28%), Milwaukee Marcus (24%), Greensboro Jasmine (19%), Park Slope Dana (9%).
NOW / Feminist Movement
Pro-choice absolutism, ERA campaigning, Hillary defense, Anita Hill aftermath. Defining 90s liberalism.
Weighed most by: Park Slope Dana (25%), Protest Paige (16%), Greensboro Jasmine (12%), Mesa Ruben (9%).
HRC & Gay Rights Movement
Post-AIDS activist generation fighting DADT, DOMA, hate-crimes legislation. Marriage still aspirational.
Weighed most by: Berkeley Leonard (40%), Protest Paige (20%), Park Slope Dana (15%), Milwaukee Marcus (15%).
AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
Pro-Israel advocacy organisation. Strongly bipartisan in the Clinton-Bush era — courts both parties on military aid, Oslo, and Iran/Iraq containment.
Weighed most by: Jasper Faye (20%), Fort Hood Cody (15%), Country Club Whit (15%), Megachurch Heather (10%).
USCCB / Catholic Bishops
US Conference of Catholic Bishops. Pro-life, pro-immigrant, pro-labor, pro-social-safety-net, anti-death-penalty. Politically cross-pressured.
Weighed most by: Bakersfield Jesús (20%), Hialeah Gladys (15%), Chattanooga Travis (15%), Pike County Brenda (15%).
AARP / Retiree Lobby
Retiree bloc focused on Social Security, Medicare, prescription drug costs. Dominant in elections — third-rail politics for both parties.
Weighed most by: Snowbird Angela (26%), Fox News Phyllis (17%), Beltway Meredith (14%), Sister Loretta (13%).
Pentagon & Defence Establishment
Post-Gulf War military leadership. Peace dividend cuts, Bosnia/Kosovo deployments, war-on-terror buildup.
Weighed most by: Fort Hood Cody (30%), Country Club Whit (15%), Snowbird Angela (10%), Janesville Gary (10%).
The Modern Era
Wall Street & Financial Sector
Markets, banks, and institutional investors prioritising fiscal stability and deregulation.
Weighed most by: Country Club Craig (25%), Suburban Sarah (15%), Beltway Barbara (15%), Miami Maria (15%).
US Chamber of Commerce
Big business lobby pushing pro-growth, low-regulation, low-tax policy.
Weighed most by: Country Club Craig (25%), Suburban Sarah (15%), Miami Maria (15%), Texas Tom (15%).
Small Business Federation
SME lobby prioritising tax stability, light regulation, and affordable healthcare.
Weighed most by: Phoenix Pablo (22%), Miami Maria (18%), Heartland Hank (13%), Edison Chen (13%).
Silicon Valley & Big Tech
Tech giants and VC lobby pushing innovation, skilled immigration, and smart regulation.
Weighed most by: Bay Area Priya (35%), Beltway Barbara (15%), College Chloe (15%), Suburban Sarah (15%).
Energy & Oil Sector Lobby
Fossil fuel industry resisting climate regulation and pushing energy independence.
Weighed most by: Texas Tom (35%), Heartland Hank (15%), Montana Matt (15%), Rust Belt Rick (10%).
AFL-CIO / Organized Labor
Union federation focused on wages, worker protections, and manufacturing jobs.
Weighed most by: Detroit Denise (22%), Union Jack (22%), Rust Belt Rick (13%), Atlanta Andre (13%).
Teachers' Unions (NEA/AFT)
Education workforce lobby focused on school funding, pay, and working conditions.
Weighed most by: Atlanta Andre (25%), College Chloe (20%), Beltway Barbara (15%), Detroit Denise (15%).
Fox News Viewership
Conservative cable news audience responsive to culture war and anti-establishment messaging.
Weighed most by: Iowa Martha (25%), Texas Tom (25%), Podcast Pete (20%), Military Mike (15%).
CNN/MSNBC Viewership
Liberal cable news audience focused on institutional norms and progressive policy.
Weighed most by: Brooklyn Jamal (20%), Bay Area Priya (20%), Beltway Barbara (20%), College Chloe (15%).
NYT/WaPo Readership
Educated establishment readership valuing competence, institutions, and evidence-based policy.
Weighed most by: Beltway Barbara (25%), Bay Area Priya (20%), College Chloe (15%), Suburban Sarah (15%).
Talk Radio & Podcast Right
Populist-leaning conservative media consumers sceptical of elites and mainstream media.
Weighed most by: Podcast Pete (25%), Montana Matt (20%), Rust Belt Rick (15%), Heartland Hank (15%).
MAGA Movement
Anti-establishment populist-right insurgency. Immigration-first, trade-sceptic, confrontational.
Weighed most by: Texas Tom (20%), Iowa Martha (20%), Rust Belt Rick (20%), Podcast Pete (15%).
Republican Moderates
Fiscally conservative, socially moderate Republicans. Suburban, educated, pro-institution.
Weighed most by: Country Club Craig (25%), Military Mike (20%), Suburban Sarah (15%), Miami Maria (15%).
Progressive Caucus
Left-wing faction pushing systemic change — climate, inequality, racial justice, Medicare for All.
Weighed most by: Brooklyn Jamal (22%), College Chloe (22%), Bay Area Priya (13%), Detroit Denise (13%).
Blue Dog / Moderate Democrats
Centrist Democrats focused on fiscal responsibility, pragmatism, and electability.
Weighed most by: Beltway Barbara (20%), Atlanta Andre (15%), Suburban Sarah (15%), Miami Maria (15%).
Libertarian Wing
Small-government, pro-freedom bloc. Anti-surveillance, pro-gun, anti-regulation from either side.
Weighed most by: Montana Matt (30%), Phoenix Pablo (15%), Texas Tom (15%), Podcast Pete (15%).
NRA & Gun Lobby
Second Amendment absolutists opposing any firearms regulation.
Weighed most by: Texas Tom (23%), Montana Matt (23%), Iowa Martha (14%), Military Mike (14%).
Environmental & Climate Coalition
Net-zero activists and green lobby pushing aggressive climate action.
Weighed most by: College Chloe (28%), Bay Area Priya (23%), Brooklyn Jamal (18%), Beltway Barbara (14%).
Anti-Immigration Network
Strict border enforcement campaigners pushing deportation and reduced legal immigration.
Weighed most by: Texas Tom (25%), Iowa Martha (25%), Rust Belt Rick (15%), Podcast Pete (15%).
AARP / Retiree Lobby
Retiree bloc focused on Social Security, Medicare, prescription drug costs, and stability.
Weighed most by: Iowa Martha (22%), Gospel Gloria (17%), Woodstock Allen (14%), Suburban Sarah (13%).
Veterans Organizations
Military veterans focused on VA healthcare, defence spending, and respect for service.
Weighed most by: Military Mike (35%), Rust Belt Rick (15%), Iowa Martha (15%), Union Jack (15%).
Evangelical Leaders
Religious right focused on abortion, religious liberty, traditional family values.
Weighed most by: Iowa Martha (22%), Gospel Gloria (22%), Texas Tom (18%), Heartland Hank (13%).
NAACP & Civil Rights Coalition
Racial justice organisations focused on policing reform, voting rights, and systemic equity.
Weighed most by: Gospel Gloria (24%), Brooklyn Jamal (24%), Atlanta Andre (19%), Detroit Denise (19%).
Hispanic Civic Coalition
Latino advocacy network focused on immigration reform, economic opportunity, and anti-discrimination.
Weighed most by: Phoenix Pablo (31%), Miami Maria (23%), Valley Rosa (12%), Atlanta Andre (12%).
American Farm Bureau
Agricultural lobby focused on trade deals, subsidies, water rights, and rural broadband.
Weighed most by: Heartland Hank (35%), Iowa Martha (20%), Appalachian Amber (15%), Montana Matt (10%).
AIPAC / Pro-Israel Lobby
Pro-Israel advocacy organisation pushing strong US-Israel ties, military aid to Israel, and pressure on Iran. Bipartisan but increasingly right-leaning.
Weighed most by: Rachel Goldstein (25%), Military Mike (15%), Country Club Craig (15%), Beltway Barbara (10%).
USCCB / Catholic Bishops
US Conference of Catholic Bishops. Pro-life, pro-immigrant, pro-social-safety-net, pro-traditional-marriage. Crosses partisan lines on different issues.
Weighed most by: Miami Maria (20%), Phoenix Pablo (20%), Rust Belt Rick (15%), Suburban Sarah (10%).
Pentagon & Defence Establishment
Military leadership and defence contractors focused on budgets, readiness, and global posture.
Weighed most by: Military Mike (35%), Beltway Barbara (15%), Texas Tom (15%), Country Club Craig (15%).
Healthcare Workers & AMA
Doctors, nurses, and hospital systems focused on funding, staffing, and patient outcomes.
Weighed most by: Appalachian Amber (21%), Detroit Denise (17%), Beltway Barbara (12%), Suburban Sarah (8%).
Higher Education & Research
Universities and research institutions focused on funding, student debt, and academic freedom.
Weighed most by: College Chloe (25%), Beltway Barbara (20%), Bay Area Priya (20%), Rachel Goldstein (15%).
Homeowners Alliance
Mortgage holders sensitive to interest rates, property values, and inflation.
Weighed most by: Suburban Sarah (20%), Grill Dad Greg (20%), Miami Maria (15%), Iowa Martha (10%).
Renters & Housing Justice Coalition
Urban renters pushing affordability, tenant protections, and new construction.
Weighed most by: Brooklyn Jamal (18%), College Chloe (14%), Disconnected Dylan (14%), Atlanta Andre (11%).
Tweeter Is Not Real Life
The Dissident Right
Post-liberal coalition of vitalists, neoreactionaries, and paleocon nationalists who view mainstream conservatism as a managerial response that has failed to slow progressive cultural change. Want a more thoroughgoing rejection of post-1960s liberalism.
Weighed most by: Bronze Age Deviant (25%), Nick Guttierez (25%), Tucker Carlington (20%), Matt Scots (15%).
Daily Wire Conservatives
Mainstream movement-conservative media. Pro-life, pro-Israel, opposed to DEI and gender-identity policy in schools, broadly Reaganite on economics and foreign policy.
Weighed most by: Ben Shindler (40%), Candace Overton (30%), Matt Scots (20%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
Intellectual Dark Web
Heterodox podcasters and Substack writers, including former liberals, libertarians, and conservatives, united by a defense of open inquiry and skepticism of institutional cultural orthodoxy.
Weighed most by: John Brogan (25%), Brian Einstein (25%), Elliot Einstein (20%), Simon Harrisson (20%).
Anti-Woke Liberals
Liberals and centrists who support classical civil-rights principles but oppose what they see as illiberal turns in DEI hiring, identity-based policy, and campus speech regulation. Often associated with the Free Press, FAIR, and the Atlantic.
Weighed most by: Barbara Wise (30%), William Maha (25%), Simon Harrisson (20%), John Brogan (10%).
TYT / Progressive Populists
Online progressive media coalition focused on economic populism, anti-corporate politics, and skepticism of centrist Democrats they view as captured by donors.
Weighed most by: Cenk Ulusoy (30%), Anna Kasparova (25%), Crystal Ball (25%), Kevin Kulinsky (15%).
BreadTube Streamer Left
Online socialist video and streamer ecosystem. Anti-capitalist, internationalist, oriented around long-form video essays and live streams. Concerned with class, race, and climate as connected systems.
Weighed most by: Hasan Radical (30%), Viltch (25%), Daniel Tetris (20%), Natalie Winner (15%).
The Nietzschean Right
Right-wing intellectual current rejecting liberal egalitarianism in favor of hierarchy and natural authority. Spans vitalists, neoreactionaries, post-liberals, and integralists.
Weighed most by: Bronze Age Deviant (40%), Mencius Moldrake (30%), Nick Guttierez (10%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
Anti-Establishment Substack Journalism
Independent investigative journalists, often former mainstream-press veterans, who use Substack to publish work they argue institutional outlets won't run. Civil-libertarian skew on speech, surveillance, and foreign policy.
Weighed most by: Gary Greenwall (30%), Michael Tabbi (25%), Barbara Wise (15%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
Trad Christian Right
Traditionalist Christian coalition, mostly Catholic and conservative Protestant. Pro-life, supports traditional marriage and large families, prioritizes religious-liberty protections, supportive of homeschooling.
Weighed most by: Matt Scots (40%), Candace Overton (25%), Ben Shindler (15%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
National Conservatism
National-conservative movement organized around the NatCon conference. Restrictionist on immigration, skeptical of free trade, restrained on foreign intervention, defends the nation-state as the primary unit of political loyalty.
Weighed most by: Tucker Carlington (30%), Nick Guttierez (25%), Mencius Moldrake (15%), Bronze Age Deviant (15%).
Infowars-Axis Right
Conspiracy-leaning right oriented around Alex Jones-style media. Skeptical of official narratives on intelligence operations, public health, and election integrity. Influential within Trump-era populism.
Weighed most by: Alex James (45%), Tucker Carlington (20%), John Brogan (15%), Brian Einstein (10%).
Pro-Israel Hawks
Bipartisan pro-Israel coalition. Backs robust military aid to Israel, sanctions on Iran, and a hawkish posture toward Israel's regional adversaries.
Weighed most by: Ben Shindler (30%), Barbara Wise (25%), William Maha (20%), Simon Harrisson (15%).
Pro-Palestine Left
Coalition prioritizing Palestinian self-determination, critiquing Israeli policy in the West Bank and Gaza, and opposing US military aid to Israel.
Weighed most by: Hasan Radical (35%), Anna Kasparova (20%), Cenk Ulusoy (15%), Gary Greenwall (15%).
Pro-Choice Coalition
Reproductive-rights coalition mobilized around defending abortion access and contraception availability after Dobbs.
Weighed most by: Anna Kasparova (20%), Crystal Ball (20%), Cenk Ulusoy (15%), Natalie Winner (15%).
Pro-Life Coalition
Anti-abortion coalition. Views protecting unborn life as the central moral question and tracks judicial appointments, state-level policy, and federal regulations closely.
Weighed most by: Matt Scots (40%), Candace Overton (20%), Ben Shindler (15%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
Free Speech Absolutists
Cross-partisan coalition opposing platform content moderation, government pressure on platforms, and academic speech codes. Cites First Amendment doctrine and Mill-style liberalism.
Weighed most by: Gary Greenwall (25%), John Brogan (20%), Brian Einstein (15%), Tucker Carlington (10%).
Crypto Caucus
Bitcoin and digital-asset advocates. Pro-decentralized finance, suspicious of central banking, support light-touch regulation of crypto markets.
Weighed most by: John Brogan (25%), Brian Einstein (20%), Elliot Einstein (20%), Mencius Moldrake (20%).
RFK Wellness Coalition
Health-skeptic coalition critical of pharmaceutical companies, food regulators, and public-health establishments. Opposes vaccine mandates, supports natural-health movements and food-quality reform.
Weighed most by: John Brogan (30%), Brian Einstein (25%), Alex James (20%), Tucker Carlington (15%).
Establishment Public-Health Liberals
Mainstream public-health-trusting liberals. Supports vaccine programs, masking guidance during outbreaks, and CDC/FDA institutional authority.
Weighed most by: Simon Harrisson (30%), William Maha (20%), Anna Kasparova (15%), Cenk Ulusoy (10%).
The Rainbow Flag Brigade
LGBT+ rights coalition focused on access to gender-affirming care, anti-discrimination protections, and pushback against state-level restrictions on trans youth and adults.
Weighed most by: Natalie Winner (35%), Hasan Radical (20%), Viltch (15%), Daniel Tetris (15%).
Gender-Critical Coalition
Coalition opposing gender-identity-based policy in single-sex spaces, women's sports, and minor medical care. Spans Christian conservatives, second-wave feminists, and centrist liberals.
Weighed most by: Matt Scots (30%), Candace Overton (20%), William Maha (20%), Barbara Wise (15%).
MAGA Loyalists
Trump-aligned populist right. Pro-tariff, restrictionist on immigration, suspicious of the federal bureaucracy, treats loyalty to Trump as the test of conservative credentials.
Weighed most by: Tucker Carlington (25%), Candace Overton (20%), Alex James (20%), Nick Guttierez (15%).
Never Trump GOP
Displaced Republicans (Bulwark, Lincoln Project axis) who oppose Trump but retain GOP economic and foreign-policy preferences. Predominantly opposed Trump in primary contests.
Weighed most by: Barbara Wise (30%), Ben Shindler (25%), William Maha (15%), Simon Harrisson (15%).
The Manosphere
Masculinist online right. Concerned with declining male labor-force participation, dating-market dysfunction, fatherless households, and the cultural standing of men.
Weighed most by: Bronze Age Deviant (30%), Matt Scots (20%), Nick Guttierez (20%), John Brogan (10%).
The Joe Rogan Audience
Joe Rogan-style three-hour-podcast listenership. Politically heterogeneous, libertarian-curious, often skeptical of credentialed expertise when it conflicts with personal experience.
Weighed most by: John Brogan (40%), Brian Einstein (15%), Elliot Einstein (10%), Alex James (10%).
The Substack Aristocracy
Heterodox writers from across the political spectrum who moved from mainstream outlets to paid newsletter platforms. Both sides cite their move as evidence of legacy-media dysfunction.
Weighed most by: Gary Greenwall (20%), Michael Tabbi (20%), Barbara Wise (15%), Natalie Winner (10%).
Patreon Class (Streamer Left)
Subscriber-supported left content creators. Politics shaped by direct relationship with their audience rather than editorial gatekeepers.
Weighed most by: Hasan Radical (25%), Viltch (20%), Natalie Winner (15%), Daniel Tetris (15%).
X Power Users
Active X users who view the platform's post-2022 management as a course-correction toward looser content moderation and reduced gatekeeping. Predominantly right-leaning but includes some heterodox liberals and free-speech advocates.
Weighed most by: Bronze Age Deviant (20%), Mencius Moldrake (15%), Tucker Carlington (15%), Nick Guttierez (10%).
Bluesky Refugees
Users who left X after the 2022 takeover for Bluesky and Mastodon. Predominantly progressive; emphasis on community-based moderation tools and federated network design.
Weighed most by: Natalie Winner (20%), Kevin Kulinsky (20%), Daniel Tetris (15%), Hasan Radical (15%).
Rationalists / Effective Altruists
LessWrong-adjacent rationalists and effective altruists. Quantitative, expected-value-driven approach to philanthropy and policy. Major focus on AI risk, global health, and animal welfare.
Weighed most by: Simon Harrisson (30%), Mencius Moldrake (20%), Brian Einstein (15%), Elliot Einstein (15%).